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Stories Tagged - mid year forecast

News

July 30, 2015 | CREBNow

A story of supply and demand

Dissecting the detached category

Sales activity declines in Calgary's detached resale housing segment over the first half of 2015 resembled that posted during the global economic crisis in 2009, according to CREB®'s mid-year forecast update.

Yet experts warn aggregate prices in Calgary's largest housing segment, which have started to fall, are being skewed by higher-priced markets, which experienced a more dramatic drop during the first half of the year.

"This year, we have seen sales decline in all price ranges. However, the decline in the luxury home market has been larger compared to lower-priced homes," said Richard Cho, principal of market analysis for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC).

Detached sales totaled 6,203 units, a 25 per cent decline relative to the previous year, noted CREB®.

CREB 2015 Economic outlook and regional housing forecast
News

July 29, 2015 | CREBNow

5 things to know about CREB® mid-year forecast update

Today, CREB® unveiled its 2015 mid-year forecast update that indicated the Calgary regional resale housing market is in for a turbulent ride over the second half of the year as some economic realities set in.

Here are five takeaways from the 24-page document:

Not just a drop in the bucket
CREB®, citing a number of economists, warns that the broader effects of oil price shocks have yet to be fully realized in both the energy and non-energy sectors. Oil prices are expected to average $55 US per barrel, which is nearly 13 per cent lower than expectations from the end of 2014. What that means is all sectors, including housing, will likely face more downward pressure heading into 2016.

Weaker resale demand
Despite more favourable lending rates, housing demand will be weaker than we've have become used to. CREB® attributes that to further job losses expected this fall, rising unemployment levels and weaker migration numbers to the city. Overall, sales activity in the city is forecasted to decline by 22 per cent to 19,798 units in 2015 and prices will contract by 0.2 per cent.

CREB 2015 Economic outlook and regional housing forecast
News

July 29, 2015 | CREBNow

Housing prices to ease in second half, CREB® forecasts

Prices expected to remain stable

Continued weakness in housing demand will limit downward pressure on supply levels and cause prices to ease in the second half of the year, CREB® said in its 2015 mid-year forecast. Despite this anticipated retraction, Calgary's benchmark prices are only expected to decline by less than one per cent on an annual basis.

"Further job losses are expected in the second half of the year," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie. "These employment changes combined with overall weakness and slower than anticipated recovery of oil prices is expected to keep housing demand relatively weak for the rest of 2015. However, with the initial shock of oil price declines having dissipated, the pullback in sales activity in the second quarter is not expected to be as dramatic as the first part of the year," said Lurie.

Overall sales activity in the city of Calgary is forecasted to total 19,780 in 2015, a 22 per cent decline relative to last year, but only six per cent lower than average activity over the past five years.

News

July 30, 2014 | CREBNow

Balancing Act

Mid-year forecast calling for more supply, added choices

Mario DeMarco thought he was prepared for anything after deciding to become a first-time homeowner.

The 25-year-old Calgarian has spent the past two years saving for a down payment, and was recently promoted at work, giving him the financial stability to purchase his own place – ideally a condo in the Beltline.

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